JD Vance: Monthly window, Jul 31, 2024

By Jul 31Monthly windowHistory onlyJD Vance

Updated

Coverage

0 known appearances
no known appearances yet Window: Jul 1, 2024 to Aug 1, 2024. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts.

Markets

1 words · 1 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersProbabilityMarket
Couch Yes–0–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awill-jd-vance-say-couch-before-august · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP