Tim Walz: Speech, Aug 21, 2024
Polymarket What will Tim Walz say during DNC speech?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abortion | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Army | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| JD Vance | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Teacher | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weird/Weirdo | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coach | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Couch | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Debate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hillbilly | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Runza | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tampon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Valor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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