MrBeast: Episode, Dec 3, 2025
Polymarket What will MrBeast say during NYT DealBook Summit?
Markets
16 words · 3 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Million / Billion 7+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Team Water | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Youtube / Youtuber 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Burger / Hamburger | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Creating Content | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crohn's | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Feastable / Chocolate 8+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| IPO | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Polymarket / Betting | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Reality Show | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ronaldo / Neymar | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Saudi Arabia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walmart | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| West Africa | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Record | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mrbeast-say-during-nyt-dealbook-summit · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP