Kamala Harris: Remarks, Oct 6, 2024
Polymarket What will Kamala say on Call Her Daddy?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abortion 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Daddy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Doug | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Context | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Cheat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Feminist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Montel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tampon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weird/Weirdo | No | 26%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Joy | No | 23%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Brat | open | – | – |
| Ex | open | – | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-kamala-say-on-call-her-daddy · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP