George W. Bush: Remarks, Nov 20, 2025
Polymarket What will Bush say during Dick Cheney's memorial on November 20?
Markets
11 words · 1 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Family / Friend 4+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| 9-11 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| America / American 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| God 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Golf / Hunter | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Great father / Good Man | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iraq / Desert Storm | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Patriot | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| War on Terror | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weapons of Mass Destruction / WMD | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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