Bill Ackman: Episode, Nov 18, 2025
Polymarket What will Bill Ackman say during the X Space on November 18?
Markets
19 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fannie 20+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| House / Housing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Million / Billion 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pulte | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shareholder 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stupid | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| 50 Year Mortgage | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Affordable | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Antisemitism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| BlackRock | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| CEO | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Communist / Communism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk / Twitter | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| May I meet you | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Minimum Credit | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 4+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-bill-ackman-say-during-the-x-space-on-november-18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP