Andrew Cuomo: Speech, Nov 4, 2025
Polymarket What will Cuomo say during his victory/concession speech?
Markets
16 words · 2 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jew / Jewish | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thank you 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Albany | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cost of living | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fascism / Fascist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mamdani 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Next mayor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pizza | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Public Safety | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tough | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Working families | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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