Kamala Harris: Debate, Sep 9, 2024

By Sep 9DebateHistory onlyKamala Harris

Updated

Markets

1 words · 1 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
McDonald’s Yes19%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Akamala-mentions-macdonalds-again-before-debate · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP