Ziwe: Episode, Nov 7, 2025

Fri, Nov 7EpisodeHistory onlyZiwe

Updated

Markets

18 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
NYPD Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Rat Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Socialist / Socialism Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Turkey / Turkish Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Biden No–new new word, no probability yet–
Bodega No–new new word, no probability yet–
Bribe / Bribery No–new new word, no probability yet–
Cuomo No–new new word, no probability yet–
Donation No–new new word, no probability yet–
E-Bike / E Bike No–new new word, no probability yet–
Election No–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE No–new new word, no probability yet–
Migrant No–new new word, no probability yet–
Subway No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trash No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No–new new word, no probability yet–
Wall Street No–new new word, no probability yet–
Zohran / Mamdani No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXZIWEMENTION-25NOV07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP