# Winter Olympics (winter-olympics) · game 2026-02-21 · 14 words · K k:KXWOMENTION-26MAR01 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:41:06Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-21 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWOMENTION-26MAR01 ({word} = w of K rows): If play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Olympics Men's Freeski Halfpipe: Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Hand	hand	3	3	1	YYY	0.75	hist	yes
Powder	powder	6	4	0.67	YnnYYY	0.61	hist	no
X Games	x game	6	4	0.67	YnYnYY	0.61	hist	no
Tweak / Tweaks / Tweaked	tweak|tweaked	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.59	hist	yes
1440	1440	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	yes
Avalanche	avalanche	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Snoop Dogg	snoop dogg	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Tahoe	tahoe	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Goggles	goggle	6	2	0.33	nYYnnn	0.4	hist	yes
Lindsey Vonn	lindsey vonn	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.33	hist	no
Red Bull	red bull	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.18	hist	no
Boost / Boosts / Boosted	boost|boosted	0	0			0.53	prior	no
Critical	critical	0	0			0.53	prior	yes
Rodeo	rodeo	0	0			0.53	prior	no