David Sacks: Keynote, Jan 22, 2026
Kalshi What will David Sacks say during his WEF Conversation?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin / Blockchain | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AGI / Artificial General Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Automation / Autonomous | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| California / Newsom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / xAI | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Energy / Nuclear | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Self Driving | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWEFMENTION-26JAN22B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP