Rick Scott: Interview, Apr 19, 2026

Sun, Apr 19InterviewHistory onlyRick Scott

Updated

Markets

13 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Democrat Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Election Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Filibuster Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran / Iranian Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Ceasefire No–new new word, no probability yet–
China No–new new word, no probability yet–
Hormuz No–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE / TSA No–new new word, no probability yet–
NATO No–new new word, no probability yet–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No–new new word, no probability yet–
Save Act / Save America Act No–new new word, no probability yet–
Shutdown / Shut Down No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP