NFL: Game, Jan 25, 2026
Kalshi What will the announcers say during the AFC Championship?
Markets
28 words · 16 settled yes- Kalshi: play-by-play or color Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safety | Yes | 96%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Record | Yes | 83%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler | Yes | 75%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| MVP | Yes | 74%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Mile High | Yes | 71%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trade / Traded | Yes | 71%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Comeback / Come Back | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wind / Windy | Yes | 57%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Empower | Yes | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Fine / Fines / Fined | Yes | 52%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Schedule | Yes | 50%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Flag Football | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Honor | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tush Push | Yes | 35%n=55 from settlement history | – |
| Hunt / Hunting | Yes | 29%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| No Good | Yes | 28%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Altitude | No | 69%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Turf | No | 54%n=88 from settlement history | – |
| Blowout / Blow Out | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dynasty | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lombardi | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tebow | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Contract | No | 44%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| Next Gen Stat | No | 41%n=54 from settlement history | – |
| What a Catch | No | 36%n=83 from settlement history | – |
| One Handed | No | 23%n=90 from settlement history | – |
| Roughing the Passer | No | 14%n=90 from settlement history | – |
| Late Hit | No | 12%n=89 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNFLMENTION-NFLAFCCHAMP · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP