NFL: Game, Apr 24, 2026

Fri, Apr 24GameHistory onlyNFL

Updated

Markets

20 words · 11 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Trade / Traded Yes70%n=74 from settlement history–
Sack / Sacked Yes59%n=2 from settlement history–
Super Bowl Yes57%n=5 from settlement history–
Rodgers Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Brady Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Combine Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Sanders Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Surgery Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Touchdown Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Wingspan Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Mahomes Yes41%n=7 from settlement history–
Bad Bunny No–new new word, no probability yet–
Bench Press No–new new word, no probability yet–
Irrelevant No–new new word, no probability yet–
MLB No–new new word, no probability yet–
Mock Draft No–new new word, no probability yet–
NBA No–new new word, no probability yet–
Primanti Bros / Primanti Brothers No–new new word, no probability yet–
Redshirt No–new new word, no probability yet–
Snub / Snubbed No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNFLMENTION-DRAFT · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP