# NFL (nfl) · game 2026-04-24 · 20 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-DRAFT · as_of 2026-10-25T05:39:13Z
# scope K named_crew · n/y settled before 2026-04-24 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-DRAFT ({word} = w of K rows): If Mike Greenberg or Mel Kiper Jr. or Booger McFarland or Louis Riddick or Laura Rutledge or Adam Schefter says {word} as part of 2026 NFL Draft (Round 1), then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	74	55	0.74	YYnYYnYYnY	0.7	hist	yes
Sack / Sacked	sack|sacked	2	2	1	YY	0.59	hist	yes
Rodgers	rodger	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
Super Bowl	super bowl	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Mahomes	mahome	7	3	0.43	nYYYnnn	0.41	hist	yes
Bad Bunny	bad bunny	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Bench Press	bench press	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Brady	brady	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Combine	combine	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Irrelevant	irrelevant	0	0			0.49	prior	no
MLB	mlb	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Mock Draft	mock draft	0	0			0.49	prior	no
NBA	nba	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Primanti Bros / Primanti Brothers	primanti bro|primanti brother	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Redshirt	redshirt	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Sanders	sander	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Snub / Snubbed	snub|snubbed	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Surgery	surgery	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Touchdown	touchdown	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Wingspan	wingspan	0	0			0.49	prior	yes