College basketball: Game, Apr 5, 2026

Sun, Apr 5GameHistory onlyCollege basketball

Updated

Markets

16 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Transfer / Transferred Yes81%n=134 from settlement history–
Record Yes60%n=131 from settlement history–
All American / All America Yes55%n=98 from settlement history–
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment Yes49%n=131 from settlement history–
Draft / Drafted Yes44%n=100 from settlement history–
Schedule Yes42%n=130 from settlement history–
Airball / Airballed No57%n=120 from settlement history–
Elbow No55%n=130 from settlement history–
Buzzer No53%n=46 from settlement history–
Ankle No47%n=131 from settlement history–
Overtime No45%n=129 from settlement history–
Double Double No45%n=130 from settlement history–
Mortgage Matchup No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Alley-oop No24%n=133 from settlement history–
NIL No18%n=132 from settlement history–
Walk On No15%n=130 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNCAABMENTION-WMARMAD · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP