# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-04-05 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-WMARMAD · as_of 2026-10-24T15:49:02Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-05 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-WMARMAD ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of 2025-26 Women's College Basketball National Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	136	115	0.85	YYYYYYYYYY	0.81	yes
Record	record	136	83	0.61	YnYYYYnnYn	0.6	yes
Airball / Airballed	airball|airballed	123	74	0.6	nnYYYnYYYn	0.57	no
Elbow	elbow	136	76	0.56	nnYnYnnYnn	0.55	no
All American / All America	all america|all american	103	58	0.56	YYnnYnYnYn	0.55	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	51	25	0.49	YYYnnnnnnn	0.53	no
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	136	68	0.5	YnYnYYYnYn	0.49	yes
Ankle	ankle	136	64	0.47	nnnYnYYnnn	0.47	no
Double Double	double double	135	63	0.47	YnnnYYYYnY	0.45	no
Overtime	overtime	133	59	0.44	YYYnYYnnnn	0.45	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	103	45	0.44	YYYYYYYnnn	0.44	yes
Schedule	schedule	136	57	0.42	YYnnnnnnnn	0.42	yes
Mortgage Matchup	mortgage matchup	2	0	0	nn	0.35	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	136	30	0.22	YnnnnnYnnn	0.24	no
NIL	nil	136	21	0.15	nnnnnYnnnn	0.18	no
Walk On	walk on	136	18	0.13	nYnnYnnnnn	0.15	no