College basketball: Game, Apr 7, 2026

Tue, Apr 7GameHistory onlyCollege basketball

Updated

Markets

16 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Transfer / Transferred Yes82%n=137 from settlement history–
Record Yes60%n=136 from settlement history–
Airball / Airballed Yes58%n=123 from settlement history–
All American / All America Yes55%n=104 from settlement history–
Elbow Yes53%n=137 from settlement history–
Ankle Yes46%n=137 from settlement history–
Lucas Oil Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment No49%n=137 from settlement history–
Buzzer No48%n=51 from settlement history–
Double Double No45%n=135 from settlement history–
Overtime No44%n=133 from settlement history–
Draft / Drafted No44%n=104 from settlement history–
Schedule No41%n=136 from settlement history–
Alley-oop No23%n=137 from settlement history–
NIL No17%n=136 from settlement history–
Walk On No15%n=137 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNCAABMENTION-MARMAD · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP