College basketball: Game, Mar 2, 2026

Mon, Mar 2GameHistory onlyCollege basketball

Updated

Markets

16 words · 9 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Transfer / Transferred Yes74%n=57 from settlement history–
Airball / Airballs / Airballed Yes67%n=44 from settlement history–
Schedule Yes62%n=57 from settlement history–
All American / All America Yes58%n=23 from settlement history–
Lenovo Center Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Record Yes54%n=57 from settlement history–
Draft / Drafted Yes47%n=23 from settlement history–
Overtime Yes46%n=54 from settlement history–
NIL Yes20%n=57 from settlement history–
Elbow No62%n=57 from settlement history–
Ankle No48%n=57 from settlement history–
Double Double No47%n=56 from settlement history–
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment No45%n=57 from settlement history–
Alley-oop No25%n=57 from settlement history–
March Madness No15%n=57 from settlement history–
Walk On No15%n=57 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNCAABMENTION-26MAR02DUKENCST · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP