# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-03-02 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR02DUKENCST · as_of 2026-10-26T17:20:51Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-02 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR02DUKENCST ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Duke at North Carolina St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	57	44	0.77	nYnYYnYYYY	0.74	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	44	31	0.7	nYYYYnYYYY	0.67	yes
Elbow	elbow	57	37	0.65	nYnnYnYYYY	0.62	no
Schedule	schedule	57	37	0.65	YnYYnnnYYY	0.62	yes
All American / All America	all america|all american	23	14	0.61	YnYnnnnYYn	0.58	yes
Lenovo Center	lenovo center	1	1	1	Y	0.57	yes
Record	record	57	32	0.56	YnYYnYYYYn	0.54	yes
Ankle	ankle	57	28	0.49	nYnYnnYYYY	0.48	no
Double Double	double double	56	27	0.48	YYYnYnnYYY	0.47	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	23	11	0.48	nnnnYnYYnn	0.47	yes
Overtime	overtime	54	25	0.46	nYYnnnnYnn	0.46	yes
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	57	26	0.46	YnYYYnYnnn	0.45	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	57	13	0.23	nnnnnnYnnn	0.25	no
NIL	nil	57	10	0.18	YnnnnnnnnY	0.2	yes
March Madness	march madness	57	7	0.12	nnnnnnnnYY	0.15	no
Walk On	walk on	57	7	0.12	nnnnnnnYnn	0.15	no