Late Night with Seth Meyers: Episode, Jan 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Billy Bob Thornton say during Late Night with Seth Meyers?
Markets
9 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Landman | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ali / Larter | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Boxmasters | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Film / Filmed / Filming | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paramount | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Texas | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Golden Globe / Golden Globes | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 21%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JAN22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP