Late Night with Seth Meyers: Episode, Dec 9, 2025

Tue, Dec 9EpisodeHistory onlyLate Night with Seth Meyers

Updated

Markets

10 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Album Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Manchild Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Wig Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No–new new word, no probability yet–
Deported / Deportation No–new new word, no probability yet–
Hispanic No–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE No–new new word, no probability yet–
Immigrant No–new new word, no probability yet–
White House No–new new word, no probability yet–
Coachella No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXLATENIGHTMENTION-25DEC09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP