# Jimmy Kimmel Live! (jimmy-kimmel-live) · tv_episode 2026-01-15 · 10 words · K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-26JAN15 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:18:14Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-15 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-26JAN15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Johnny Knoxville says {word} as part of Jimmy Kimmel Live!, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Bam / Margera	bam|margera	0	0		0.36	no
Fear Factor	fear factor	0	0		0.36	no
Film / Filming / Filmed	film|filmed|filming	0	0		0.36	yes
Jackass 5	jackass 5	0	0		0.36	no
Joe / Rogan	joe|rogan	0	0		0.36	no
Movie	movie	0	0		0.36	yes
Prank / Stunt	prank|stunt	0	0		0.36	yes
Spider / Snake	snake|spider	0	0		0.36	no
Steve-O	steve o	0	0		0.36	no
YouTube / YouTuber	youtube|youtuber	0	0		0.36	no