UFC & boxing: Game, May 16, 2026
Kalshi What will the announcers say during Rousey vs Carano
Markets
15 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: play-by-play or color Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Judo | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netflix | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rowdy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFC | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Train / Trained / Training | No | 56%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out | No | 48%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Tired / Tiring | No | 35%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| Blood / Bloody | No | 35%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Choke / Choked / Chokehold | No | 35%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| MVP | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| WWE | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Olympic / Olympics / Olympian | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| What a Fight | No | 16%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Legal / Illegal | No | 10%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Dana | No | 9%n=44 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFIGHTMENTION-26MAY16ROUCAR · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP