# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-05-16 · 15 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAY16ROUCAR · as_of 2026-10-24T04:04:37Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-16 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAY16ROUCAR ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Rousey vs Carano professional MMA fight , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	41	24	0.59	YYnnYYYnYn	0.56	hist	no
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	44	22	0.5	YYnnYnnnYn	0.48	hist	no
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	44	15	0.34	nnnnnnYYYY	0.35	hist	no
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	44	15	0.34	YnnnYnnYYY	0.35	hist	no
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	42	14	0.33	YnnnnnnYYY	0.35	hist	no
Olympic / Olympics / Olympian	olympian|olympic	1	0	0	n	0.26	hist	no
What a Fight	what a fight	31	4	0.13	nYnnYnnnYn	0.16	hist	no
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	42	3	0.07	nnnnnnnnYn	0.1	hist	no
Dana	dana	44	3	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Judo	judo	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
MVP	mvp	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Netflix	netflix	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
Rowdy	rowdy	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
UFC	ufc	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
WWE	wwe	0	0			0.3	prior	no