UFC & boxing: Game, Feb 21, 2026
Kalshi Announcers at Spivak vs Delija
Markets
16 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: play-by-play or color Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Decision / Judge | Yes | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Blood / Bloody | Yes | 32%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Polar Bear | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walking Trouble | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out | Yes | 21%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Tired / Tiring | Yes | 21%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Train / Trained / Training | Yes | 15%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Triangle | No | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Toyota | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Choke / Choked / Chokehold | No | 35%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Championship | No | 31%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Slip / Slips / Slipped | No | 23%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Smashed / Smashing | No | 21%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Dana | No | 20%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Legal / Illegal | No | 11%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Lights Out | No | 9%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFIGHTMENTION-26FEB21SPIDEL · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP