UFC & boxing: Game, Apr 11, 2026
Kalshi Announcers at Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov
Markets
11 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: play-by-play or color Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Train / Trained / Training | Yes | 60%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out | Yes | 58%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Decision / Judge | Yes | 43%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Bear | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gypsy King | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Joshua / AJ | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lion | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thailand | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tottenham / Hotspur | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tired / Tiring | Yes | 26%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Blood / Bloody | No | 32%n=29 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFIGHTMENTION-26APR11TFURAMAK · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP