# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-04-11 · 11 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26APR11TFURAMAK · as_of 2026-10-26T23:17:19Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-11 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26APR11TFURAMAK ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	25	16	0.64	YYYYnnYYYn	0.6	hist	yes
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	28	17	0.61	YYYYnnYYYn	0.58	hist	yes
Decision / Judge	decision|judge	8	4	0.5	nYYYnYnn	0.43	hist	yes
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	28	9	0.32	nnYnnnYYnn	0.32	hist	no
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	28	7	0.25	nnnYnnnnnn	0.26	hist	yes
Bear	bear	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Gypsy King	gypsy king	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Joshua / AJ	aj|joshua	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Lion	lion	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Thailand	thailand	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Tottenham / Hotspur	hotspur|tottenham	0	0			0.28	prior	yes