Congressional hearings, Oct 8, 2025
Kalshi What Will The CEOs Say During The Testimony on Radicalization of Online Forum Users?
Markets
20 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: any witness Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antifa | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ban / Banned | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Censor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Charlie / Kirk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chat 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Communist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| CSGO | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Encrypt / Encrypted | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Free Speech | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gamble | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Groyper | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hamas | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Incel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Incite | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Livestream | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Meme | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Raid | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Revolution | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Turning Point | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCONGRESSMENTION-25OCT08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP