# The Late Show (the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert) · tv_episode 2025-11-21 · 15 words · K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25NOV21 · as_of 2026-10-25T04:49:44Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-21 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25NOV21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Elizabeth Warren says {word} as part of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Democrat	democrat	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.33	hist	yes
Trump	trump	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.27	hist	yes
Election	election	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	2	0	0	nn	0.18	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Capitalist / Capitalism	capitalism|capitalist	0	0			0.27	prior	no
China	china	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Corporation	corporation	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Native American	native american	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Tariff	tariff	0	0			0.27	prior	yes