# The Late Show (the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert) · tv_episode 2025-12-12 · 11 words · K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC12 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:02:44Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-12 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Ben Cohen or Jerry Greenfield says {word} as part of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	6	2	0.33	YnnYnn	0.29	hist	no
Activist / Activism	activism|activist	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Americone Dream	americone dream	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Charity	charity	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Half Baked / Cherry Garcia	cherry garcia|half baked	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Palestine / Gaza / West Bank	gaza|palestine|west bank	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Silence / Silenced / Silencing	silence|silenced|silencing	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Unilever	unilever	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Vermont	vermont	0	0			0.32	prior	no