# The Late Show (the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert) · tv_episode 2025-12-10 · 10 words · K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC10 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:04:23Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-10 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Andrew Sorkin says {word} as part of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	0.33	hist	no
Economy	economy	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.31	hist	yes
Bitcoin / Crypto	bitcoin|crypto	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	yes
Bubble	bubble	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Depression	depression	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Inflation	inflation	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Nvidia	nvidia	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Prediction Market	prediction market	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Squawk	squawk	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Stock Market	stock market	0	0			0.29	prior	yes