# The Late Show (the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert) · tv_episode 2025-12-03 · 7 words · K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC03 · as_of 2026-10-24T17:19:55Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-03 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC03 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Election	election	2	1	0.5	nY	0.38	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.34	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	yes
National Guard	national guard	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	no
ICE	ice	2	0	0	nn	0.19	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Ukraine	ukraine	0	0			0.28	prior	yes