# The Late Show (the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert) · tv_episode 2025-12-02 · 8 words · K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC02 · as_of 2026-10-24T08:55:39Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-02 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mikie Sherrill says {word} as part of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Campaign	campaign	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist
Healthcare	healthcare	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist
Trump	trump	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.4	hist
New York	new york	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	0	0			0.31	prior
Energy	energy	0	0			0.31	prior
Navy	navy	0	0			0.31	prior
Transit	transit	0	0			0.31	prior