Marc Benioff: Episode, Oct 17, 2025
Kalshi What will Marc Benioff say during the TBPN Podcast on October 16th?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albert / Einstein | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| OpenAI | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Adoption | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Agentic AI | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Microsoft | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Guard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stock Market | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woke | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBENIOFFMENTION-25OCT17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP