Marc Benioff
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 12 word markets on Marc Benioff’s appearances since 2025, on 12 different words.
History Wall
1–12 of 12, most settled first| Word | Oct 17 ’25latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albert / Einstein | Said: Albert / Einstein, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Elon / Musk | Said: Elon / Musk, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| OpenAI | Said: OpenAI, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Adoption | Not said: Adoption, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Agentic AI | Not said: Agentic AI, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | Not said: Bitcoin / Crypto, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Economy | Not said: Economy, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Microsoft | Not said: Microsoft, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| National Guard | Not said: National Guard, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Stock Market | Not said: Stock Market, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump | Not said: Trump, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Woke | Not said: Woke, Oct 17 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Marc Benioff say during the TBPN Podcast on October 16th? | no transcript | 12 | 3 yes · 9 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Marc Benioff: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/marc-benioff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/marc-benioff · words: /api/v1/history?entity=marc-benioff · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP