McCormick (MKC): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 1, 2026

On its Oct 1, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), McCormick said 9 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

16 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
CCI Yes1111✓89%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 17:32, CCI–
Mexico Yes1011✓91%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:23, Mexico–
Integration Yes89✓85%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:21, Integration–
Unilever Yes68✓89%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:20, Unilever–
Cholula Yes67✓82%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 5:06, Cholula–
China / Chinese Yes55✓92%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 4:24, China / Chinese–
Tariff Yes44✓93%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 22:08, Tariff–
Synergy Yes45✓79%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 13:49, Synergy–
Hot Sauce Yes22✓78%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 4:56, Hot Sauce–
Supply Chain No03✓64%transcripts from the transcript model–
Knorr No00✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
Frank's RedHot No00✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
Hellmann's / Hellmann No00✓35%transcripts from the transcript model–
Ducros No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Maille No00✓31%transcripts from the transcript model–
Marmite No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

4 matches for “Tariff”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Marcos Gabrielcompanyprepared · 22:10Hear it 22:10, Marcos Gabriel

…a 30 basis point impact from the supply constraint mentioned earlier. On tariffs, our cost assumptions, primarily related to the global 10% tariff, remain unchanged…

Marcos Gabrielcompanyqa · 40:15Hear it 40:14, Marcos Gabriel

…now expecting to deliver about 120 basis points. Even if you take tariff refunds out, which is about 35 basis points, it is still a…

Where the listed words were said

Marcos Gabrielcompany“CCI” · prepared · 17:34Hear it 17:28, Marcos Gabriel

…base business, including pricing, savings from our comprehensive continuous improvement program, or CCI, partially offset by increased freight costs. Selling, general, and administrative expenses,…

Brendan Foleycompany“Mexico” · prepared · 1:25Hear it 1:19, Brendan Foley

…supported by solid base business performance and accretion from the McCormick de Mexico acquisition. Organic growth reflected in consumer momentum in EMEA and Asia Pacific…

Brendan Foleycompany“Integration” · prepared · 2:23Hear it 2:23, Brendan Foley

…confident in the strategic benefits of the proposed combination with Unilever Foods. Integration planning remains on track, and we continue to advance the work required…

Brendan Foleycompany“Unilever” · prepared · 13:14Hear it 13:09, Brendan Foley

…Marcos, I would like to provide a brief update on the planned Unilever Foods transaction on slide seven. Integration planning is advancing on schedule and…

Brendan Foleycompany“Cholula” · prepared · 5:08Hear it 5:02, Brendan Foley

…we delivered dollar and unit share gains for the fourth consecutive quarter, led by Cholula's expanded distribution, continued base business momentum, and increased household penetration.

Brendan Foleycompany“China / Chinese” · prepared · 4:26Hear it 4:20, Brendan Foley

…and seasonings, unit or volume share gains in Canada, France, Poland, and China continue to support global performance. In the U.S., as expected, we are…

Brendan Foleycompany“Synergy” · prepared · 13:51Hear it 13:47, Brendan Foley

…one. Detailed bottom-up planning has also provided a clear view of the synergy opportunity and the actions, ownership, timing, and resources required to deliver it…

Brendan Foleycompany“Hot Sauce” · qa · 29:12Hear it 29:10, Brendan Foley

…areas like convenient fresh and seasoned salt and other innovation platforms that we have been launching. In addition, share gains in hot sauce and mustard.

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