McCormick (MKC): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 1, 2026

On its Oct 1, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), McCormick said 9 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

16 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
CCI Yes1111✓89%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 17:32, CCI–
Mexico Yes1011✓91%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:23, Mexico–
Integration Yes89✓85%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:21, Integration–
Unilever Yes68✓89%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:20, Unilever–
Cholula Yes67✓82%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 5:06, Cholula–
China / Chinese Yes55✓92%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 4:24, China / Chinese–
Tariff Yes44✓93%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 22:08, Tariff–
Synergy Yes45✓79%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 13:49, Synergy–
Hot Sauce Yes22✓78%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 4:56, Hot Sauce–
Supply Chain No03✓64%transcripts from the transcript model–
Knorr No00✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
Frank's RedHot No00✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
Hellmann's / Hellmann No00✓35%transcripts from the transcript model–
Ducros No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Maille No00✓31%transcripts from the transcript model–
Marmite No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Hydration”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Brendan Foleycompanyprepared · 6:13Hear it 6:08, Brendan Foley

…label, and high-growth innovators. We are seeing opportunities in functional beverage innovation, supplements, hydration, better for you snacks, premiumization, and customer diversification.

Where the listed words were said

Marcos Gabrielcompany“CCI” · prepared · 17:34Hear it 17:28, Marcos Gabriel

…base business, including pricing, savings from our comprehensive continuous improvement program, or CCI, partially offset by increased freight costs. Selling, general, and administrative expenses,…

Brendan Foleycompany“Mexico” · prepared · 1:25Hear it 1:19, Brendan Foley

…supported by solid base business performance and accretion from the McCormick de Mexico acquisition. Organic growth reflected in consumer momentum in EMEA and Asia Pacific…

Brendan Foleycompany“Integration” · prepared · 2:23Hear it 2:23, Brendan Foley

…confident in the strategic benefits of the proposed combination with Unilever Foods. Integration planning remains on track, and we continue to advance the work required…

Brendan Foleycompany“Unilever” · prepared · 13:14Hear it 13:09, Brendan Foley

…Marcos, I would like to provide a brief update on the planned Unilever Foods transaction on slide seven. Integration planning is advancing on schedule and…

Brendan Foleycompany“Cholula” · prepared · 5:08Hear it 5:02, Brendan Foley

…we delivered dollar and unit share gains for the fourth consecutive quarter, led by Cholula's expanded distribution, continued base business momentum, and increased household penetration.

Brendan Foleycompany“China / Chinese” · prepared · 4:26Hear it 4:20, Brendan Foley

…and seasonings, unit or volume share gains in Canada, France, Poland, and China continue to support global performance. In the U.S., as expected, we are…

Marcos Gabrielcompany“Tariff” · prepared · 22:10Hear it 22:10, Marcos Gabriel

…a 30 basis point impact from the supply constraint mentioned earlier. On tariffs, our cost assumptions, primarily related to the global 10% tariff, remain unchanged…

Brendan Foleycompany“Synergy” · prepared · 13:51Hear it 13:47, Brendan Foley

…one. Detailed bottom-up planning has also provided a clear view of the synergy opportunity and the actions, ownership, timing, and resources required to deliver it…

Brendan Foleycompany“Hot Sauce” · qa · 29:12Hear it 29:10, Brendan Foley

…areas like convenient fresh and seasoned salt and other innovation platforms that we have been launching. In addition, share gains in hot sauce and mustard.

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