David Friedberg: MAHA Summit, Sep 29, 2026
At the keynote on Sep 29, 2026, David Friedberg said 6 of the 14 words Kalshi listed.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carbon / Emission | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Farmer / Farming | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fertilizer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GMO | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Potato | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Automate / Automated / Automation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| California | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Data Center | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drought | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gene Editing / CRISPR | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Monsanto | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Recession | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
No public transcript expected. No official public recording known; market data and settlement only. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/david-friedberg:2026-09-29:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=david-friedberg:2026-09-29:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP