David Friedberg
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kalshi has settled 14 word markets on David Friedberg’s appearances since 2026, on 14 different words.
History Wall
1–14 of 14, most settled first| Word | Sep 29latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carbon / Emission | Settled yes: Carbon / Emission, Sep 29 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| China / Chinese | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Sep 29 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Farmer / Farming | Settled yes: Farmer / Farming, Sep 29 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Fertilizer | Settled yes: Fertilizer, Sep 29 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| GMO | Settled yes: GMO, Sep 29 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Potato | Settled yes: Potato, Sep 29 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Automate / Automated / Automation | Settled no: Automate / Automated / Automation, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| California | Settled no: California, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Climate | Settled no: Climate, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Gene Editing / CRISPR | Settled no: Gene Editing / CRISPR, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Data Center | Settled no: Data Center, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Drought | Settled no: Drought, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Monsanto | Settled no: Monsanto, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Recession | Settled no: Recession, Sep 29 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | KeynoteWhat will David Friedberg say during the MAHA Summit? | no transcript | 15 | 6 yes · 9 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “David Friedberg: mention market word history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/david-friedberg (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/david-friedberg · words: /api/v1/history?entity=david-friedberg · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP