Dave Guggina: Keynote, Sep 15, 2026
Walmart at Goldman Sachs Global Retailing Conference
At the keynote on Sep 15, 2026, Dave Guggina said 9 of the 14 words Kalshi listed.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Automate / Automated / Automation | Yes | 66%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Gas / Gasoline / Oil | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Marketplace / Market Place | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Rollback / Roll Back | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Prescription / Pharmacy | Yes | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Delivery | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Same-day / Same Day | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | 65%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Apple Pay | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grocery | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drone | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | No | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
No public transcript expected. Walmart webcast at an investor conference (investor relations, usually behind registration). The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/dave-guggina:2026-09-15:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=dave-guggina:2026-09-15:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP