Will Walmart say “Tariff”?
Walmart said “Tariff” 13 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 40, 8, 5, 3, 6, 13 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Walmart said “Tariff” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (80%), most recently on Aug 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 89% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 78¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Walmart
Tariff
- Probability
- 89% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
13 counted (11 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…17.4% in constant currency. This includes the benefit from the receipt of tariff refunds in the quarter. As we suggested on the last call, our…
…our sales and operating income growth guidance for the year. With the tariff refunds, there are some idiosyncrasies to this quarter's results, so I'll provide…
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…to note that our guidance does not assume any impact from IEEPA tariff refunds. We felt it best to provide guidance that reflects our expectations…
Greg, on tariffs, we are availing ourselves of the process to get refunds. We would definitely bias and try to prioritize price investment for that,…
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…300 basis point headwind from increased claims expenses and navigating a bumpy tariff environment. This was the third consecutive year that we grew profits at…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did Walmart say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Walmart said “Tariff” 13 times on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 40, 8, 5, 3, 6, 13 times.
- How often does Walmart say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Walmart said “Tariff” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (80%), most recently on Aug 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Walmart says “Tariff” next time?
- 89%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Walmart: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/WMT/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=walmart&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=walmart&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP