Thomas Kurian: Keynote, Sep 8, 2026
Google at Goldman Sachs Communacopia
At the keynote on Sep 8, 2026, Thomas Kurian said 7 of the 15 words Kalshi listed.
Part of Goldman sachs communacopia (4 appearances).
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | Yes | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Gemini | Yes | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | Yes | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Agent / Agentic AI | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cybersecurity / Security | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Open Source | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| YouTube | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nano Banana | No | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI Infrastructure | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Capital Expenditure / Capex | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DeepMind | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Regulation / Regulatory | No | 32%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Quantum | No | 31%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
No public transcript expected. Google webcast at an investor conference (investor relations, usually behind registration). The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/thomas-kurian:2026-09-08:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=thomas-kurian:2026-09-08:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP