Will Google say “Nano Banana”?
Google did not say “Nano Banana” on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 3, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Google said “Nano Banana” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Nano Banana
- Probability
- 23% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…has generated over 150 million songs since launching on the Gemini app. Nano Banana 2 reached 1 billion images in nearly half the time of…
Early traction has been good, this month we integrated Nano Banana 2 to make personalized image creation possible in the Gemini app. Maps recently got…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…globally. Definitely all the product experience improvements, the work we did with Nano Banana, the progress with the Gemini models all translated into strong momentum.…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…models are world-leading. GEMINI 2.5 Pro, Veo, Genie 3 under viral sensation Nano Banana are among the very best in class. Over 230 million videos…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Nano Banana |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Nano Banana | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nano Banana | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Nano Banana |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Nano Banana | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Google say “Nano Banana” on its last earnings call?
- Google did not say “Nano Banana” on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 3, 0 times.
- How often does Google say “Nano Banana”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Google said “Nano Banana” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Google says “Nano Banana” next time?
- 23%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Google: ‘Nano Banana’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GOOGL/words/nano-banana (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=google&word=nano%20banana · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=google&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP