Urban Outfitters (URBN): FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 26, 2026

On its Aug 26, 2026 earnings call (FY27 Q2), Urban Outfitters said 10 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

14 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Tariff Yes1112✓95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Beauty Yes57✓60%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Back to School Yes44✓59%transcripts from the transcript model–
Headwind Yes33✓75%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Refund Yes33✓47%transcripts from the transcript model–
International / Internationally Yes24✓64%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Middle East Yes22✓46%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
IEEPA Yes22✓31%transcripts from the transcript model–
Holiday Yes11✓68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Supply Chain Yes11✓23%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Store Opening No00✓77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Claude No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
DoorDash No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Gemini No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Oona Mc Culloughcompany“Tariff” · prepared

…adjusted basis, which does exclude one-time benefits related to refunds for IEEPA tariffs previously paid, associated interest income, and a tax benefit related to the…

Dick Haynecompany“Beauty” · qa

Tricia, you want to take the beauty question?

Frank Conforticompany“Back to School” · prepared

…reach on platforms like TikTok, Search, Reddit, and ChatGPT. Additionally, for the back-to-school season, Urban Outfitters launched its first-ever connected TV commercial themed All Together…

Frank Conforticompany“Headwind” · prepared

…the team's exceptional execution, we were able to offset all of these headwinds and deliver an improved gross profit margin rate. Additionally, as you will…

Frank Conforticompany“Refund” · prepared

…discuss tariffs. During the second quarter, we received substantially all of our refund relating to the incremental IEEPA tariffs imposed beginning in the spring of…

Sheila Harringtoncompany“International / Internationally” · qa

Yeah. Marni, thank you. Free People continues to see strong momentum internationally. We started the growth with DTC over a decade ago, in our first…

Frank Conforticompany“Middle East” · prepared

…expenses driven by fuel surcharges associated with the ongoing war in the Middle East. These additional costs had a negative impact of approximately 50 basis…

Frank Conforticompany“Holiday” · prepared

…products. This well-received event enabled the team to get strong fall and holiday season product reads, which the brand continues to distort into for the…

Dave Haynecompany“Supply Chain” · qa

…enabling and hardening some of these more impactful AI use cases across supply chain, creative, design, marketing, inventory teams, and even other areas, and we're…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/urban-outfitters:2026-08-26:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=urban-outfitters:2026-08-26:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP