General Motors (GM): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 21, 2026

On its Jul 21, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), General Motors said 14 of the 21 words Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 21 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

21 words · 14 settled yes · our count agreed on 21 of 21

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Dollar 10+ timesYes8585✓90%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 3:52, Dollar 10+ times–
Million 10+ timesYes3535✓78%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 5:46, Million 10+ times–
Quarter 10+ timesYes3333✓84%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 0:02, Quarter 10+ times–
Truck 5+ timesYes2727✓69%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 4:51, Truck 5+ times–
Revenue 10+ timesYes2323✓40%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 3:13, Revenue 10+ times–
Cruise Yes1515✓95%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:45, Cruise–
Portfolio Yes1212✓95%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:50, Portfolio–
America Yes1111✓94%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:16, America–
Software Yes99✓91%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 3:12, Software–
China Yes88✓94%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 3:00, China–
SUV 5+ timesYes77✓51%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:19, SUV 5+ times–
Emission Yes44✓73%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:20, Emission–
GMC Yes22✓71%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 4:43, GMC–
Chevy Yes11✓23%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 23:07, Chevy–
Income 10+ timesNo22✓12%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 14:45, Income 10+ times–
Car 10+ timesNo11✓11%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 27:04, Car 10+ times–
Charging station No00✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–
Factory No00✓23%transcripts from the transcript model–
Horsepower No00✓20%transcripts from the transcript model–
Electric car No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Fiscal 10+ timesNo00✓3%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Mary Barracompany“Dollar (10+)” · prepared · 3:54Hear it 3:48, Mary Barra

…in our adjusted automotive free cash flow generation, which has improved from $3 billion-$5 billion annually on average over the last decade, to consistently above…

Mary Barracompany“Million (10+)” · prepared · 5:48Hear it 5:46, Mary Barra

…onshoring significant manufacturing starting next year, which will bring our U.S. production capacity to more than 2 million units and further reduce our tariff exposure.

Operatoroperator“Quarter (10+)” · prepared · 0:04Hear it 0:00, Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the General Motors Company second quarter 2026 earnings conference call. During the opening remarks, all participants will be in a…

Mary Barracompany“Truck (5+)” · prepared · 4:53Hear it 4:53, Mary Barra

…separate us from key competitors when they begin arriving in showrooms in December. The truck will deliver improved ride quality, power, durability, and towing capability.

Mary Barracompany“Revenue (10+)” · prepared · 3:15Hear it 3:09, Mary Barra

…and we continue to strengthen our product portfolio, grow software and services revenue, lower our warranty costs, reduce EV losses, increase operating efficiency, and develop…

Mary Barracompany“Cruise” · prepared · 2:47Hear it 2:42, Mary Barra

…achieved our best quarter and first half ever for the new Super Cruise-equipped vehicles. Strong commercial demand helped us deliver record full-size pickup deliveries in…

Mary Barracompany“Portfolio” · prepared · 1:52Hear it 1:46, Mary Barra

…reported another solid quarter, driven by the tremendous appeal of our product portfolio, the agility of our team, and disciplined execution across the business. Our…

Mary Barracompany“America” · prepared · 2:18Hear it 2:16, Mary Barra

…year. The business continues to perform very well. Customer demand in North America remains steady, including for our pickups and SUVs, and pricing is consistent.

Mary Barracompany“Software” · prepared · 6:22Hear it 6:19, Mary Barra

…units from this product enhancement strategy. Alongside our core vehicle portfolio and software growth, new businesses initiatives like GM Insurance and GM Defense are reaching…

Paul Jacobsoncompany“China” · prepared · 14:47Hear it 14:45, Paul Jacobson

…the middle of our targeted range of 50-60 days. GM International, excluding China equity income, delivered EBIT adjusted of $100 million, driven by strong execution…

Mary Barracompany“SUV (5+)” · prepared · 5:22Hear it 5:19, Mary Barra

…launching at three propulsion plants. We are also increasing capacity for full-size SUVs. Starting next spring and continuing into 2028, we will begin launching the…

Paul Jacobsoncompany“Emission” · prepared · 12:22Hear it 12:16, Paul Jacobson

…year-over-year. The improvement was driven primarily by core business performance, supported by stronger pricing and lower costs, including EV, warranty, and emissions-related regulatory tailwinds.

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