Will General Motors say “China”?
General Motors said “China” 8 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 9, 8, 6, 9, 13, 10, 6, 8 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, General Motors said “China” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 95% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 90¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
General Motors
China
- Probability
- 95% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
8 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
GM International EBIT adjusted excluding China equity income was breakeven in the third quarter, down $200 million year-over-year, driven by a -$100 million mark-to-market adjustment…
…fourth quarter. New energy vehicles accounted for more than 60% of GM China's third-quarter sales, and the team remains focused on execution, cost efficiencies, and…
Counts: anyone
8 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
…incentive spend has remained well below the industry average for more than three years. GM International, inclusive of our China joint ventures, was also profitable.
…the middle of our targeted range of 50-60 days. GM International, excluding China equity income, delivered EBIT adjusted of $100 million, driven by strong execution…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
10 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…performance in GM North America was our sixth consecutive profitable quarter in China and higher year-over-year results in GMI excluding China. We're also building tremendous…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did General Motors say “China” on its last earnings call?
- General Motors said “China” 8 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 9, 8, 6, 9, 13, 10, 6, 8 times.
- How often does General Motors say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, General Motors said “China” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability General Motors says “China” next time?
- 95%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “General Motors: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GM/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=general-motors&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=general-motors&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP