Nike (NKE): FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jun 30, 2026
On its Jun 30, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q4), Nike said 14 of the 25 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 25 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
25 words · 14 settled yes · our count agreed on 25 of 25- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi - Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport 5+ times | Yes | 47 | 47 | ✓ | 92%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Growth | Yes | 30 | 30 | ✓ | 96%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Revenue 5+ times | Yes | 29 | 29 | ✓ | 84%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Consumer | Yes | 24 | 24 | ✓ | 96%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| China | Yes | 19 | 20 | ✓ | 97%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 16 | 16 | ✓ | 92%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| World Cup | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 77%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Jordan | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 92%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Supply Chain | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 88%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Sustainable | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 89%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Foot Locker | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 54%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Dividend | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 48%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Retailer | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 38%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Oil | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 32%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Skims / NikeSKIMS | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 70%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Sabrina | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Amazon | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Direct to Consumer / DTC | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 35%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Express Lane | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Nike Factory | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Beaverton | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Pink | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 15%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Consumer Demand | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 14%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Digital Sales | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 10%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
27 matches for “North America”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…billion to our running business. In FY 2026, across Western Europe and North America, we gained five points of running market share in statement footwear,…
…our outreach, and improving how we show up across channels. For the fiscal year, wholesale revenue grew 4%, led by double-digit growth in North America.
After a stronger start in March, especially in North America, by mid-April, we began to see a deceleration in retail sales trends. Our consumer is…
…and down 4% on a currency neutral basis, reflecting modest growth in North America, more than offset by expected declines in Greater China, EMEA, and…
…year, which included additional severance costs related to supply chain actions in North America and EMEA we highlighted last quarter. We expect these actions will…
Where the listed words were said
…Importantly, it's what's enabled us to move about 8,000 teammates into vertical sport teams under our new operating model, the Sport Offense, while also taking…
All growth comparisons on the call today are presented on a year-over-year basis and are currency neutral unless otherwise noted. We will start with prepared…
…in the back half. We know changing their trajectory is critical to restoring sustainable top-line growth because together, they represent approximately half of our revenue.
…across product, brand, marketplace, and operations, and deepening our connections with athletes, consumers, and partners. When those dimensions connect, they create the Nike multiplier. It's…
…better and creating a more profitable business. That's especially important in Greater China, a critical long-term growth market for Nike, where we are fully committed…
…versus the prior year. Stabilizing gross margins, excluding the impact of incremental tariffs, taking initial steps to reset our cost base and improve operating efficiency…
…through the Sport Offense. It's been an incredible few weeks of the World Cup. What feels different this time around is we're not treating the…
…not living up to our full potential, particularly in Nike Sportswear and Jordan streetwear, where sell-through remains challenged, impacting both current discounting and future order…
…As we strengthen NIKE, Inc.'s foundation, we're taking decisive action across our supply chain to lower cost, streamline operations, and rightsize our distribution network to…
…found a really good rhythm there, and I remain very bullish on North America and their ability to continue to have sustainable growth moving forward.
…to note is that our revenue growth and retail sales comp with Foot Locker was positive for the first time in four years, and we…
…finished yet. I'm confident our investments in the integrated marketplace will pay dividends for years to come. We're also investing in experiences in our key…
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