Nintendo Direct, Jun 9, 2026
At the Nintendo Direct on Jun 9, 2026, 7 of the 13 words Kalshi listed were said.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: anyone
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Emblem | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pokémon | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Splatoon | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sport | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Super Mario | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Xenoblade | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zelda | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dark Ages | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Genshin Impact | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Indiana Jones | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pikmin 4 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rainbow Six Siege | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
No public transcript expected. No official public recording known; market data and settlement only. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nintendo-direct:2026-06-09:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nintendo-direct:2026-06-09:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP