ON Semiconductor (ON): FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 4, 2026

On its May 4, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), ON Semiconductor said 7 of the 10 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

10 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
EV / Electric Vehicle Yes88✓90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Backlog Yes33✓36%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Autonomous / Automation Yes22✓72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Headwind Yes11✓68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Market Share Yes11✓59%transcripts from the transcript model–
NIO Yes11✓24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Sineng Electric Yes11✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓64%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tailwind No00✓55%transcripts from the transcript model–
Nvidia No00✓29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

3 matches for “Backlog”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Thad Trentcompanyprepared

…and free cash flow. In the first quarter, order patterns and improving backlog visibility indicate that we are moving away from the bottom of the…

Hassane El-Khourycompanyqa

…in AI data center or automotive. We've been pushing for getting the backlog. Backlog is starting to layer in and lead times are starting to…

Where the listed words were said

Hassane El-Khourycompany“EV / Electric Vehicle” · prepared

…than 30 Treo devices, enabling end-zone connectivity. Higher energy costs are accelerating EV demand, with cost-optimized EV platforms driving increased adoption of IGBT-based traction inverter…

Hassane El-Khourycompany“Autonomous / Automation” · prepared

…for AI client platforms, and inductive position sensing for humanoids and advanced automation use cases. These wins reinforce Treo's penetration as customers move to a…

Thad Trentcompany“Headwind” · qa

…improves, you know, you'll see that as well. We've also had some headwinds on cost input costs going up, our pricing actions are now going…

Hassane El-Khourycompany“Market Share” · prepared

…market in 2026, with more than 40% revenue growth year-over-year and a market share approaching 60%, and are now ramping revenue for a large U.S.…

Hassane El-Khourycompany“NIO” · prepared

…Show in April is approximately 55%. Recent expanded collaborations with Geely and NIO highlight our role in enabling these customers to scale globally with their…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/on-semiconductor:2026-05-04:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=on-semiconductor:2026-05-04:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP